Flirting with Models cover image

JD Gardner - "Win Bigger Than You Lose" (S1E5)

Flirting with Models

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The Tail Hedge Is Valuation Dependent

The tail hedge is actually valuation dependent. So if probabilities for greater drawdowns and lower returns moving forward, we probably want to have a tail hedge in place. When we are n the third or fourth cortile of cu ratio is the only time that the tail hedge will be included. The way i view tail hedging, yes, there's going to be some risk management benefits in a sharp drawdown. But also, what's going to happen as you're going to create cash at more opportune times to deploy capital into equities. I'd much rather demploy capital 20 % lower than i would to day.

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