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Probabilities of Recession Starting in 2023
The short breach was fairly mild. That plus two in baseline changes to a minus 14. Kristi, what is your probabilities? Well, before I give them, let me just announce that the Republicans walked out of debt ceiling talks. Oh, why? State White House isn't being reasonable. So put that in your calculus. Richard, do you think about things in these terms? Do you have a sense of the probability recession this year and again next year? Yeah. Here we go.