The Local Maximum with Max Sklar cover image

Ep. 249 - The Sleeping Beauty Problem

The Local Maximum with Max Sklar

00:00

Are You a Halfer?

The half versus thirder gives very different credence zones. A halfer will believe at any given time that they're woken up that it's a 75% chance it's a Monday, 25% chance it’s a Tuesday. So does that make sense if you are a halfer? I mean, then if you're a halfer in the million door scenario, you're going to place a very large close to 50% chance on Monday, I suppose, on day one.

Transcript
Play full episode

The AI-powered Podcast Player

Save insights by tapping your headphones, chat with episodes, discover the best highlights - and more!
App store bannerPlay store banner
Get the app