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Is Your Expected Value Going to Be Negative?
If you're consistently betting at numbers where you know you're just, you're ending up with negative expected value, i think that's when you have a legitimate concern. So for me, it comes down to an expected value calculation,. I can figure out what i can get down on a monday in the ennefel, and if that's going to, you know, i can figure out likely... And i make my decisions based off of that. But i still value the closing line value equally depending because, i mean, i have to use that in my calculation.