3min chapter

Plain English with Derek Thompson cover image

Why Everybody Is Wrong About a Recession and Housing’s Great Comeback

Plain English with Derek Thompson

CHAPTER

How High Will Interest Rates Go?

A monthly survey of home builders shows how the housing market is faring. The index had fallen significantly from the pandemic highs in 2022 to 35 by December. But if mortgage rates stabilize around six or even five-ish percent, as home building picks up, that's a huge part of the economy. If it went into expansion territory, it wouldn't totally shock me just because we have seen that big of a swing so far in 2023.

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