3min chapter

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329. The Models Are OK, the Predictions Are Wrong | Dr. Judith Curry

The Jordan B. Peterson Podcast

CHAPTER

Is There a Tipping Point Hypothesis?

In complex systems that have multiple potential outcomes, that kind of all or none tipping point is unlikely. The West Antarctic ice sheet could collapse on a timescale of three or four centuries and lead to substantial sea level rise. If there's gonna be some solid earth, if the earth wants to have an earthquake or a big volcanic eruption, there aren't a lot of negative feedbacks in the earth system to prevent that. To me, that's the one bad thing that could happen, but it would take centuries.

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