SI270: CPI, Trend Reversals & Dalio on US-China War ft. Alan Dunne
Top Traders Unplugged
Chart on Fund Manager Optimism and Discussion on Trend and Non-Trend Strategies
Fund managers heavily investing in bonds suggests optimism in the market, but caution is advised based on historical trends.
Today, we are joined by Alan Dunne for a wide ranging conversation, covering pressing global macro issues, the latest trend following research, JP Morgan's outlook for the 60/40 portfolio, following a week dominated by the release of the CPI numbers. We discuss how and why Ray Dalio believes the hot war between the US and China is changing and why the US is seeing an unusually low savings rate at the moment and why Alan believes there are plenty of possibilities in the non-trend space. We also discuss the benefits that trend following can add to your portfolio, how Blackstone is boosting the leverage in one of its Credit Funds...and if this seems like a good idea and much more.
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Episode TimeStamps:
01:08 - What has been on our radar recently?
09:44 - Industry performance update
15:33 - A new war in sight?
21:17 - News about the US savings rate
23:54 - A positive outlook for productivity?
30:13 - CFM paper on the benefit of non-trend strategies
41:57 - J.P. Morgan paper on the outlook of the 60/40 portfolio
50:28 - Quantica paper on trend vs global tactical asset allocation
58:12 - FT article on Blackstone borrowing to boost lending power
01:03:35 - Thanks for listening
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