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Mantic Monday: Judgment Day

Astral Codex Ten Podcast

CHAPTER

Prediction Markets and the 2024 Election

This chapter examines the volatility of prediction markets related to the 2024 U.S. presidential election, highlighting the impact of a significant anonymous bet on market perceptions of candidates like Donald Trump and Kamala Harris. It critiques the reliability of these markets amidst manipulation and liquidity challenges while exploring various political scenarios and forecasts leading up to the election.

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