This week, we discuss why markets lead the economy and a drawdown will trigger a recession, the possibility of stagflation & repercussions of low interest rates, and the impact of Trump’s political agenda on markets and the economy. We also delve into the outlook for oil and gold, market skew, OpEx-driven drawdowns, and more. Enjoy!
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Timestamps:
(00:00) Introduction
(01:44) Macro Overview
(05:21) Recession Predictions
(07:28) Interest Rates, Inflation, & Market Reaction
(10:42) Skale Ad
(11:04) Interest Rates, Inflation, & Market Reaction (Con't)
(14:21) Trump, Populism, & Economic Policy Outlook
(24:35) Historical Comparisons
(31:50) Market Reflexivity & Inflation Expectations
(33:32) Skale Ad
(34:03) Market Reflexivity & Inflation Expectations (Con’t)
(39:10) Skew Dynamics and Volatility
(46:01) Portfolio Allocation Strategies
(49:51) Oil and Gold Market Insights
(54:23) Final Thoughts OpEx Crumbs
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Disclaimer: Nothing discussed on Forward Guidance should be considered as investment advice. Please always do your own research & speak to a financial advisor before thinking about, thinking about putting your money into these crazy markets.
