How Many Fake Profiles Are Needed?

In this episode of Data Skeptic's Recommender Systems series, Kyle sits down with Aditya Chichani, a senior machine learning engineer at Walmart, to explore the darker side of recommendation algorithms. The conversation centers on shilling attacks—a form of manipulation where malicious actors create multiple fake profiles to game recommender systems, either to promote specific items or sabotage competitors. Aditya, who researched these attacks during his undergraduate studies at SPIT before completing his master's in computer science with a data science specialization at UC Berkeley, explains how these vulnerabilities emerge particularly in collaborative filtering systems. From promoting a friend's ska band on Spotify to inflating product ratings on e-commerce platforms, shilling attacks represent a significant threat in an industry where approximately 4% of reviews are fake, translating to $800 billion in annual sales in the US alone.

The discussion delves deep into collaborative filtering, explaining both user-user and item-item approaches that create similarity matrices to predict user preferences. However, these systems face various shilling attacks of increasing sophistication: random attacks use minimal information with average ratings, while segmented attacks strategically target popular items (like Taylor Swift albums) to build credibility before promoting target items. Bandwagon attacks focus on highly popular items to connect with genuine users, and average attacks leverage item rating knowledge to appear authentic. User-user collaborative filtering proves particularly vulnerable, requiring as few as 500 fake profiles to impact recommendations, while item-item filtering demands significantly more resources. Aditya addresses detection through machine learning techniques that analyze behavioral patterns using methods like PCA to identify profiles with unusually high correlation and suspicious rating consistency. However, this remains an evolving challenge as attackers adapt strategies, now using large language models to generate more authentic-seeming fake reviews. His research with the MovieLens dataset tested detection algorithms against synthetic attacks, highlighting how these concerns extend to modern e-commerce systems. While companies rarely share attack and detection data publicly to avoid giving attackers advantages, academic research continues advancing both offensive and defensive strategies in recommender systems security.