One: Holden Karnofsky on times philanthropy transformed the world & Open Phil's plan to do the same
Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours
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Is It Possible to Predict the Future 20 Years Out?
I think people do somewhat overestimate how futile it is to predict the future. We have a contractor working right now on looking back at a bunch of ten or 20 or 30 year predictions and scoring them according to whether they came true or false as predictions that were made decades ago. And so we'll see how that goes. But athing i say is, you know, you can't know the future, but it seems possible that you can be well celebrated about the future.
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