2min chapter

The Rational Reminder Podcast cover image

Prof. William Goetzmann: Learning from Financial Market History (EP.248)

The Rational Reminder Podcast

CHAPTER

The Negative Bubble Behavior

The statistical data suggests to us that it's a coin flip, whether it's going to keep on going up or go back down. If you're a taxable investor, you have to trade off that risk aversion versus the cost of insurance. We find that if it's a really big crash, the probability of a rebound is pretty high.

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