The race leans liberal, but I'd certainly say it's more because of the Gulf and Canada quality than anything from the first round. Democrats are super college educated, right? And for like an off-year Supreme Court election, they're much more likely to understand the importance of this race to state and even national politics. The thing about that is that it's just one special election. We always say that you kind of need a bigger sample size. Weird things can happen in any one special election, like big golfs in Canada quality.

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