30min chapter

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg cover image

Two things shape the course of your life: luck and your decisions (with Annie Duke)

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

CHAPTER

Analyzing Decisions and Outcomes in Poker and Other Contexts

The chapter explores the practice of discussing poker hands without revealing outcomes to receive unbiased opinions. It delves into how decision outcomes can reflect decision quality over time, contrasting the misconception of judging decisions solely based on outcomes. The chapter also discusses biases influencing decision-making, such as loss aversion and the reluctance to quit projects due to sunk costs, using examples from poker, football, and the California high-speed rail project.

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