
Nine: Dave Denkenberger on feeding the world through catastrophes
Effective Altruism: Ten Global Problems – 80000 Hours
The Probability of a Full Scale Nuclear War
The risk of a full scale nuclear war each year. The likelihood that kind of the preparations that that all fed might do would make the difference between it being really bad for long tin future, versus, you know, we recover from it, and things go ak. And then i suppose you had to estimate how much that would cost. And if you can to multiply those three, then divide by the cost, and that gives you an idea of the benefit to cast ratioi is that kind of right? That's right. So maybe let's go through each of these in turn. Where did you get that number from? Cause it seems quite a bit higher then than figures i've heard from
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