Turism Is Not Predicting the Future, You Know?

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In your new book, a that we're running counter a experiments in our head, thought experiments, which are totally legitimate in science. Turism is not predicting the future, like, winwill a pootin stop his war on ukrane, will sanctions work or not? But rather a kind of counterfactually playing games in your head about your personal life moving forward and then changing the variables you go to make it come out the way you are hoping it'll come out.

Shermer speaks with world-renowned future forecaster and game designer, Jane McGonigal, about her book Imaginable in which she draws on the latest scientific research in psychology and neuroscience to show us how to train our minds to think the unthinkable and imagine the unimaginable by inviting us to play with provocative thought experiments and future simulations.

Shermer and McGonigal discuss: what a futurist is and what they do; counterfactuals: predicting the past; how could the present moment be different?; how can you imagine the unimaginable, or think the unthinkable?; how to envision what our lives will look like ten years from now; how to to solve problems creatively; how to make decisions that will help shape the future we desire; how to simulate any future you want; simulations as thought experiments as counterfactual causality tests; gaming as simulation of problem solving; the 10,000-hour rule for success; your present self vs. your future self and why most of us discount the future too much.