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AI Cambrian Explosion: Conversation With Three AI Engineers — #37

Manifold

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The Probability of a Nuclear Bomb

The future at that point is not under human control. It's under the control of these super things that we made. Is there a 1% chance I could happen? Or is there a 10%? With that kind of tail risk, is it still something that we should not be concerned about? And I'm not trying to make you into a doomer. Yeah. Let me request, like kind of reconnoctualize, what is the likelihood right now that like we can like rush into like X day, let's say, for a bomb and sort of like. Pretty decent. Like 1%.

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