AI-powered
podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
How Much Weight Should You Give to Observations About Present Day Air Systems?
I think broadly plausible range is a bit of a tricky question because you're implicitly kind of just throwing shade at you outside that range. There's a really broad range where I don't feel a sense of disrespect for the person. What's embarrassing to me? Maybe one other way to phrase this question is given the information we have available, like how confident do you think anybody can be about holding any like level of view doom?Yeah, I think you should definitely have very low resilience views. Like it's tricky to hold a probability estimate and then say, yes, this is the probability estimate I should have.