The global economy in 2075: Growth slows as Asia rises
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The Value of Forecasting Over Long Term Horizons
At the time it wasn't anticipated that EMs would become the dominant force in the global economy. The broader message of the rise importance of EMs, I think that has stood the test of time quite well. China and India have grown over the 20 years a whole actually faster than we anticipated. And if anything, China has substantially surprised the upside.
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