3min chapter

Your Undivided Attention cover image

The AI Dilemma

Your Undivided Attention

CHAPTER

Is It Possible to Predict the Double Expirativity?

Even AI experts who are most familiar with exponential curves are still poor at predicting progress, even know they have that cognitive bias. Even for the experts, it's getting increasingly hard because progress is accelerating. And if I wasn't checking Twitter a couple times a day, we were missing important developments. This is what it feels like to live in the double exponential.

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