2min chapter

Animal Spirits Podcast cover image

The End of V-Shaped Recoveries (EP.256)

Animal Spirits Podcast

CHAPTER

Is This a End of the World Type Crash?

There's three times that it's lasted more than four years. Every other time it's done in under a year and a half. If this is not a end of the world type crash, it's probly gong to be pretty quick. The probability of a gain in the b 500 is not much better than coin flop. 56 % of the time stocks are positive. Go out a year at 75%. And then there's never been a 20, 30 or forty period where stocks have been down.

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