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Democracy in crisis, part 1: Ross Douthat isn't too worried
The Gray Area with Sean Illing
The Probability of a Civil War in the United States
There is a vanishingly small likelihood of anything like what we would conventionally understand a civil war to be. Intelligence and security apparatus is tremendous as compared to what we've seen in cases where states have collapsed into civil war. There are structural factors thich he identify s based on research on past conflicts, like a privileged group previously losing status,. The health of democratic institutions in a country. Clining all of these raise the risk of people wanting to take solutions to political disputes into their own hands.
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