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How Much More Stress Can These Markets Handle?

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

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The New York Fed Probability of Recession in 12 Months

The spread between the three month bill and the 10 year note is wider than it's been at any time since 1981. And so, and you can see here with those gray bars, anytime it spikes, you get a recession. I don't think this is just a one off. I think you've had an inverted yield curve here for quite some time.

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