Forecasting the Future of Covid
NEJM Interviews
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Weather Forecasting for Covet
The long term vision is to have a picture of what is the risk of infections for individual people. The best predictions are warnings that if we don't control this action, it will have consequences that we need to avoid. Human behaviour is both a part of the system and therefore a challenge and a limitation on how well we can predict. We're never going to predict the infectious diseases out three months, because human behavior is too much of a determinate.
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