4min chapter

The Macro Trading Floor cover image

Are You Paying Attention to Emerging Markets? | Nick Stadtmiller

The Macro Trading Floor

CHAPTER

Emerging Market Central Banks Will Have to Be More Hawkish Than What They Say They Will Be

Dollar is an often a misunderstood creature, because a lot of people use d x y as a proxy. The fate of the dollar is very closely interlinked with with interest rate differentials. And if you take the fed's word at face value, then the market is not pricing as an aggressive and sustained a path of interest rate hikes,. Which suggests to me that there could be some upsid in the dollar. Nick: With so much uncertainty, i think it's very hard to make directional bets an emerging markets  and just go long or short high risk currencies.

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