If I were to try to describe your overall expectations, first order approximation, it almost seems it's uniform probability across everything. Basically radical uncertainty where there's some chance everything could go great. If you're in anywhere in the middle, there are very few actions that make sense at 10% do but not 90% do or vice versa. But if I had to guess what the most likely outcome is, I would say whom is less likely than non-foom, although again bophers are potentially alive.

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