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223 | Tania Lombrozo on What Explanations Are
Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
Why People Choose Simpler Explanations More Often Than They Should
There is some evidence that people seem to be more sensitive to the evidence than they ought to compared to Bayesian inference. In my own lab, one of the things that we have looked at as I mentioned is simplicity. We define simpler explanations as those that involve fewer causes that are themselves. So for example, if you have two symptoms that you can explain by appeal to one disease or by appeal to two diseases that each just cause one symptom, you find that people prefer the single disease explanation more often than they should.
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