2min chapter

The Macro Trading Floor cover image

Animal Spirits Are Back For Markets

The Macro Trading Floor

CHAPTER

Should We Get a Soft Landing?

Cyclicals are priced to drop in earnings relative to the most recent set of realized earnings. Anything that smells like, oh my god, in a recession it gets hammered. Earnings are obviously amongst the most depressed when it comes to expectation. The skew is freaking expensive. And implied the balls on the downside still ridiculously expensive from a history perspective.

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