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Ep21 "Disentangling Causation and Correlation" with Guido Imbens

All Else Equal: Making Better Decisions

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Reverse Causality Is a Good Predictor of the General Election

Muncie in the Anna is being used as a good predictor of what the election outcome in a general election is going to be. The people who live in Muncie are a good representative sample of all Americans, says David Frum. "Reverse causality is one of those things that when you're in the moment, it just seems so unintuitive," he adds.

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