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Ed Miller Talks His New Book, Betting, and More

The Unabated Podcast

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Challenges of Making Accurate Predictions in Sports Betting

This chapter discusses the challenges of making accurate predictions in sports betting, particularly when it comes to betting on alternative lines on major books. It emphasizes the uncertainty and scarcity of data in inferring true percentages from random outcomes. The conversation also touches on factors such as sample sizes, market hold, and the difficulty of modeling NFL and college football games.

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