2min chapter

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas cover image

216 | John Allen Paulos on Numbers, Narratives, and Numeracy

Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas

CHAPTER

The Prosecutors Paradox Is Relevant Again to Conditional Probability

You've talked in this book and elsewhere about pseudoscience and conspiracy theories. What is the connection to numeracy or a numeracy there? Well, I think it's just clear thinking there in that case. And if you don't, you're more easily, more easily fooled. The probability of innocence given evidence is much higher often than the probability of evidence given innocence.

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