Intro

Chuck Todd welcomes Politico’s politics bureau chief Jonathan Martin to discuss the rapidly evolving political landscape as both parties grapple with structural weaknesses and Trump's continued dominance of the political conversation. The conversation covers the Democratic Party's primary calendar shake-up, with New Hampshire maintaining its first-in-the-nation status despite ongoing debates about Iowa's role, while examining how the party's focus on winning over traditional early-state voters may not address deeper issues with rural constituencies. Martin and Todd analyze Trump's economic challenges, from emerging tariff impacts to his desperate attempts to influence interest rates, alongside his strategic use of government power to shape elections and avoid potential legal consequences.

The discussion shifts to key electoral battlegrounds, particularly the New Jersey gubernatorial race featuring Mikie Sherrill and her challenger Ciattarelli, which could serve as a crucial midterm bellwether. They explore the broader implications of weak party structures, redistricting battles that Obama has now blessed, and whether Democrats are ceding their traditional "adult in the room" positioning. Their discussion concludes with lighter fare about college football, including LSU's playoff aspirations and James Madison's surprising rise as Virginia's emerging football power, offering a perfect blend of serious political analysis and seasonal sports commentary.

Timeline:

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00:00 Jonathan Martin joins the Chuck Toddcast!

00:30 College football kicks off

02:30 Democrats debating where to host first primary

02:45 New Hampshire will be first primary state 

05:15 Winning over NH voters doesn't solve Dems issues with rural voters 

07:00 Iowa won't move back to first in the nation status 

07:30 Democrats vacate endorsement of DSA candidate in Minneapolis

09:45 The two traditional parties are incredibly weak 

10:45 Trump is creating a lot of noise, but can't distract from economy 

12:30 Trump's ultimate goal is attention 24/7 

13:15 Tariff impacts are starting to show up 

15:00 Trump is desperate to bring down interest rates 

16:15 Trump will use the power of government to affect elections 

17:30 Texas redraw shows Trump is desperate to avoid third impeachment 

18:45 Could Mike Johnson refuse to seat a new congress? 

19:45 DOJ releases Ghislaine Maxwell testimony to appease base 

21:15 DOJ's reputation will take years to recover 

23:15 Democrats get no credit when being fair on redistricting 

24:00 Obama gives his blessing to redistricting effort 

24:45 Are Democrats ceding "adult in the room" status? 

26:00 Biden overreached beyond his mandate 

27:30 Redistricting will be a massive legal mess 

28:15 Trump takes partial state ownership of major companies 

29:45 Trump's endorsement is decisive in GOP primaries 

31:00 Huge reliance on Scott Bessent to keep lid on Trump 

33:00 New Jersey governor race will be a bellwether for the midterms 

34:45 Mikie Sherrill bungled her answer on Mamdani

35:30 Trump is sympathetic to Ciattarelli 

36:45 Ciattarelli has a Chris Christie quality to him 

38:15 Sherrill would be the least "Jersey" governor 

39:45 Will any Republican senators announce retirement? 

41:45 Sherrod Brown's outlook in Ohio senate race 

43:30 Brown's prize for winning is an election in two years 

45:45 Democrats too focused on DC rather than states 

46:45 Which college football games will you attend? 

48:00 LSU needs to make a playoff run for Kelly to keep his job 

50:15 James Madison becoming the football power in Virginia