
When Biden Lost It & Nate Silver's Bet
Mixed Signals from Semafor Media
The Influence of Polling and Challenges Faced by Pollsters
This chapter delves into the impact of polling on public discourse, highlighting the risks pollsters face in being influenced by public opinion. It discusses a specific poll in Wisconsin in late October 2020, the challenges of forecasting elections, and the emotional toll on forecasters. The conversation also touches on the satisfaction of successful analysis, the unique perspective of gamblers, and the mission of an individual who enjoys trolling 'midwits'.
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