Exuding confidence is actually quite important for a startup founder in addition to being motivated. Research suggests that social confidence is important if you want to see seem like a leader. But epistemic confidence actually doesn't really matter. Jeff Bezos is an example of this because he gave Amazon about a 30% chance of success.
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What are "scout" and "soldier" mindsets? How can we have productive disagreements even when one person isn't in scout mindset? Is knowing about good rationality habits sufficient to reason well? When do we naturally tend to be in scout mindset or soldier mindset? When is each mindset beneficial or harmful? Are humans "rationally irrational"? What are the two different types of confidence? What are some practical strategies for shifting our mindset in the moment from soldier to scout?
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