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4min chapter
Scout and Soldier Mindsets (with Julia Galef)
Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg
The Importance of Confidence in Startups
Exuding confidence is actually quite important for a startup founder in addition to being motivated. Research suggests that social confidence is important if you want to see seem like a leader. But epistemic confidence actually doesn't really matter. Jeff Bezos is an example of this because he gave Amazon about a 30% chance of success.
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