Would Trump's Third Party Candidate Be About Wining?

There is some more specific data that we can look at in terms of trying to assess what would happen if Trump actually ran as a third party candidate. There's a big question about whether or not he would be able to get on the ballot, which is Alabama, Arkansas, Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Texas. I think the most the clearest states that would not allow him on the ballot are South Dakota and Texas according to this article.