2min chapter

People I (Mostly) Admire cover image

51. Max Tegmark on Why Treating Humanity Like a Child Will Save Us All

People I (Mostly) Admire

CHAPTER

Nuclear War - The Biggest Short Term Threat

i estimate that the probability of me dying in a nuclear war within the next few years probably about one %. That might knock half a year off my life expectancy. If you keep rolling the dice and it's a one percent chance per year, or whatever, the probability of your surviving into the long future t drops expedientially. I mean, john f. Kennedy said that he thought it was 50 50 even that the cuba missile crisis would cause the nuclear war. So huge.

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