Tariffs, China, and the Soybean Market Impact

Chuck Todd breaks down how Donald Trump’s presidency has become more about global showmanship than governing at home. From pushing Argentinian beef over American ranchers to a fragile Israel-Hamas peace deal and secretive efforts at regime change in Venezuela, Todd argues the administration is setting a dangerous precedent—one where the president wields unchecked power. He exposes how the Department of Homeland Security has morphed into a political PR arm, spending millions on self-promotional ads and luxury jets for Kristi Noem, all while ignoring real crises.

Then, the conversation shifts to the next major political flashpoint: artificial intelligence. As fear of AI grows, politicians like Florida’s Hector Mujica are making it a centerpiece issue. Todd explores how AI could fuel a new populist revolt, with both parties scrambling to offer answers to voters’ unease. From vanity projects to vanishing trust in technology, this Chuck paints a picture of a government distracted by power plays while the ground shifts beneath it.

Then, he sits down with Iowa Democratic Party Chair Rita Hart to talk farming, politics, and the fight to keep Iowa relevant on the national stage. From corn and soybeans to caucuses and campaigns, Hart shares what it’s really like for farmers caught in the middle of tariffs, trade wars, and shrinking rural economies — and how Washington’s decisions have reshaped Iowa’s way of life. They discuss the state’s economic struggles, rural healthcare crisis, and the outsized impact of right-wing media, as well as the challenge of rebuilding trust in the Democratic brand across small towns that once went from Obama to Trump.

Hart also dives into the future of Iowa’s political identity — why she thinks a rural state must remain among the first in the presidential primary calendar, how Democrats can connect urban and rural voters around shared values, and what success will look like for Iowa Democrats heading into 2026. It’s a candid, grounded look at where agriculture meets democracy, and how one state’s renewal could hold lessons for the entire country.

Finally, Chuck gives his ToddCast Top 5 political TV shows of the past decade and answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment.

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Timeline:

(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

03:00 Trump ignoring domestic issues in favor of international ones

04:15 Trump suggests buying Argentinian beef, hurting American ranchers

05:45 Trump’s peace deal between Israel & Hamas may fall apart

07:00 Administration wants regime change in Venezuela, lying about it

08:45 Ecuador released survivor of navy attack in Caribbean, not a criminal

10:15 The precedent being set is the president has all the power

12:00 Dems painted Bush as caring more about other nations, can do same w/Trump

13:30 Trump administration spending huge money on themselves, not the public

14:15 DHS has spent $51m on direct to camera ads featuring Kristi Noem

16:00 DHS bought two Gulfstream private jets for Kristi Noem’s use

18:00 When something goes wrong with DHS, Kristi Noem will get the blame

19:00 DHS has gotten lucky with an incredibly light hurricane season

20:15 Administration is using taxpayer dollars to promote a future presidential run

21:15 Republicans will be stuck defending Trump’s vanity projects

22:30 There’s a coming political & cultural war over AI

23:15 Companies already getting scrutiny for using AI avatars in ads

24:30 Florida Democrat Hector Mujica makes AI center of his campaign

25:30 Fear of AI could be strong political motivator for voters

26:30 Politicians will need a good answer to AI anxiety

27:30 The globalization “soft landing” never materialized, AI could be similar

28:45 Trump shaking down DOJ for 200 million over his indictments

30:00 Sora 2 is the exclamation point of tech ruining the information ecosystem

31:15 Tech companies failed on social media, need supervision on AI

32:15 AI will increase the value of human to human interaction

36:00 Humans won’t be willing to marginalize themselves as a species

37:00 AI could create a massive populist revolt from across the spectrum

40:45 Rita Hart joins the Chuck ToddCast 

41:45 Experience of working as farmers in Iowa 

42:45 How much of your corn is for human consumption? 

44:30 What can farmers do with soybeans if they can't find a buyer? 

45:30 Tariffs & trade war can have dire consequences for farmers 

47:00 What did government intervention look like last time & how does it work? 

48:00 The trade war allowed foreign markets to take US ag customers 

49:45 Targeted tariffs work for manufacturing but not for agriculture 

51:30 Iowa's place in rebuilding the Democratic party in the midwest 

52:25 The national brand has stained the Iowa brand 

53:30 Iowa is nearly last in the nation for economic and income growth 

54:15 Iowa's healthcare & childcare are increasingly unaffordable 

55:15 Rural healthcare access is extremely limited in rural Iowa 

56:15 Iowa has the most Obama to Trump voting counties in America 

57:30 Iowa's local news has diminished, voters focused on national news 

58:45 FOX News & right wing media have huge influence in Iowa 

1:01:00 The national Democratic Party is in a state of transition 

1:02:45 Iowa Democrats have been activated and engaged 

1:03:45 Iowa has good primary candidates, DSCC should stay out of it 

1:05:30 Rob Sand emphasized party credentials rather than go independent 

1:07:30 What issues should Iowa Dems lean in, and lean out on? 

1:09:45 Can't divide issues that affect everyone into "us vs. them" 

1:12:15 How should Democrats talk about immigration 

1:14:15 Need a sensible way for hard-working immigrants to get citizenship 

1:16:15 Why has the DNC moved away from Iowa as first in the nation status 

1:17:30 Iowa is a great testing ground for Democratic campaigns 

1:19:30 Balancing targeting the urban centers vs the rural vote in campaigns 

1:20:15 Why rural Iowa matters to a future presidential candidate 

1:21:45 A rural state needs to be in the first four primary states 

1:23:15 Will Iowa GOP work with Iowa Dems to keep first in nation status? 

1:24:30 Iowa Democrats should get to choose between a caucus or a primary 

1:27:15 Improving the caucus process to increase participation 

1:28:30 What does success look like for Iowa Democrats in 2026? 

1:30:30 There's a reason both Kim Reynolds and Joni Ernst dropped out 

1:31:15 What is the job of a state party chair? 

1:34:45 Avoiding burnout during the constant state of fundraising

1:37:45 Chuck's thoughts on interview with Rita Hart 

1:40:15 ToddCast Top 5 Political TV shows from the past 10 years 

1:40:30 West Wing is incredibly unrealistic 

1:42:00 #1 The Diplomat 

1:45:00 #2 For All Mankind 

1:47:15 #3 Veep 

1:49:15 #4 Succession 

1:50:45 #5 The Walking Dead 

1:54:00 Ask Chuck 

1:54:30 Thoughts on Trump's face on a coin or the "Arc De Trump"? 

2:00:15 What will make Arkansas football great again? 

2:02:45 Does message or experience matter more for a presidential candidate? 

2:06:15 Has privatizing air traffic controllers been considered? 

2:10:15 Thoughts on a local journalist breaking the swastika flag story?

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