
Ep 22: The Logic of Experimental Tests
ToKCast
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The Physical Reality of Probability
If we take a coin, and it's a fair coin, supposedly fair coin, and we're flipping it ow, we expect to flip it out of a hundred times. It's very rare that that ever actually comes up. But in what way does probability refer to real life? If you're not getting exactly 50 50 every single time you throw a fair coin a hundred times, what does that mean? When it doesn't? One view of probability is if you were to throw it an infinite number of times, then 50 % of those would be heads and 50 % tails. That's an unfalsifiable claim. I can't insad there. And i think the constructive theory we
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