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A 2023 Global Macro Outlook | Joseph Wang & George Goncalves

Supply Shock

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Is the ECB Really Hawkish?

The Fed is basically saying that, you know, we're going to be at stall speed, not exactly recession. So it's very much, it seems like some kind of, I don't know, euphemism or political cover as George suggested. It's just how they think that they can get inflation under control. But yesterday, the ECB met as well, that European Central Bank, as well as the Bank of England. They hiked rates, I forget 50 or something; but yeah, I didn't pay attention. Well, how hawkish was it? People are saying it's very hawkish. Yeah, it'sVery hawkish. And that had a pretty big impact on

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