Speaker 2
much of that is due to this? Refes to an earlier question, the answer you gave. But is this due to just the geography of the battlefield changing in crane holds the right territory. Now, is this due to the state of russian forces in the donbas and how committed they are to kearson further south? But also all the equipment that they lost? Does that remove their offensive potential in terms of the next year of the war, six months of the war? Ri
Speaker 1
i think those are great questions. First, do the geography? They no longer have a wedge which there up there, their hub of izum represented, so the rail lines that went through ther and the rail lines that ran through kupiansk down to isum. Especially the fact that the lost a kupianska, in some ways, is a worse, is a worse lost than even azom, because thela roads and intersect or that now leaves open northern lohansk that they have to defend, which they probably are not set up to defend. And it also means they're going to retreat from most of hykovoblis. I suspect they'll try to defend a strip in the northern part of of of that region. But i expect the russian militarie is going to retreat from most of the hykovoblis. At this stage, they're not going to be able to defend it. In terms of the damage to the russian military wall, this essentially destroys the western grouping of force. And to be clear, the western military district was largely, from my point of view, a destroyed as a functional force in the first two months of the war, and then had to reconstitute itself ad the worst performance thoout the war.