
The First Default; How Many More?: Credit Crunch
FICC Focus
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Index Default Rates
In terms of portfolio loss probably not as much but in terms of headline yes we might have some defaults. We have a published outlook that 2023 index default rate will probably be around 1 percent why because if you look at the pandemic the pandemic peak in index default rate was just 1.8 percent so I'm of the opinion that world hasn't shut down it's still a functioning world as its inflation and there are some Russia related input related core issues.
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