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Ep. 81: Nathan Young on forecasting, prediction markets, and designing good policy.

FUTURATI PODCAST

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I Think the Bears Are on Me, I Hope So

i hope we can get to the sort of the ai rules and is a benevolent ruler a, then you know, the bears are on me. I think there's some pretty concerning scenaros pretty close to that one. If it turns out that something can eventually end up in charge or affecting all our lives, maybe i think, is again, underrated. In prediction, marget, do you you predict the survival of puten? Do you predict thesurvival of solenski? Do you, you? Ah, how do you separate moving pieces from non-moving parts for an analysis like this? Because any one component cann torpedo the whole thing. Just make it like a

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