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Extreme Weather and Climate Science, Renters and Climate Change, Green Voters and the 2022 Midterms and more

Living on Earth

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Climate Modelling Isn't Capturing All That Well

Climate models have been really good about predicting the overall warming of the planet more than a half century ago. The predictions that were made of how much warming we would see if we continued to burn fossil fuels at historic rates have come to pass. What's been under predicted are some of the consequences of that warming. We're seeing these processes lead to earlier loss of ice from the greenland and west antarctic ice sheet. That means the sea level rise from ice melt is happening earlier than we expected. So it's another example of how uncertainty isn't our friend.

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