Iran's Nuclear Dilemma: Geopolitical Implications

This chapter examines the historical context of U.S. intelligence assessments on Iran's nuclear capabilities, revealing a consensus since 2003 that Iran has not progressed towards developing a nuclear weapon. The discussion draws parallels between past geopolitical conflicts and current U.S. foreign policy challenges, particularly concerning Israel and the roles of Russia and China. Emphasizing the complexities of military action against Iran, the chapter warns of the potential global fallout from miscalculations and highlights the need for accurate intelligence in shaping effective foreign policy.