3min chapter

Data Skeptic cover image

Forecasting Motor Vehicle Collision

Data Skeptic

CHAPTER

Are You Interested in Pushing the Model Further?

The data set that was available spanned 20 14 to 20 18, when there was a major change point event in the pandemic. We will be testing against newer networks, seeing forms and finding ways to improve it. I don't want to shy away from seeing whether this is a poor model when we actually find the right model to fit. It won't be on track with the best line estimate, of course, because there was a 30 % drop in crash rates. However, i would be interested to see where there is a fell betwien the confidence interval bounds that were included in the model.

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