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Can you tell when a system is about to tip?
Simplifying Complexity
Is There a Dynamic Regime?
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A stable state is a mode of operation where more or less you have the same dynamics happening over time. This is why it's so confusing for us human beings, isn't it? Because we observe that state. It's nice and stable. We can even write equations to describe that state. And then we think it's going to go out like that forever and ever. The issue here isn't that it screws around what our sort of linear cause and effect view of the world. But when you get those non-linear changes, as you said, all of a sudden it really screws with our expectations.
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