Bayesian Thinking in Everyday Life

This chapter explores the relevance of Bayes' Theorem in shaping beliefs and decisions in everyday life, advocating for probabilistic thinking over rigid convictions. It discusses the interpretation of new evidence in the context of misinformation and conspiracy theories, emphasizing the importance of individual belief systems. Furthermore, the chapter examines the implications of AI and Bayesian methods on predictive abilities, highlighting both the potential and limitations in making forecasts amidst uncertainty.