
How to be a data detective (Tim Harford)
Rationally Speaking Podcast
Is There a Confirmation Bias?
I think that's what distinguishes whether you're doing careful process, looking for multiple different sources of evidence before you're willing to cite something. And there are examples of work that i've cited where it turns out it doesn't replicate. Whether they replicate or not, they're always in investigating quite a narrow claim. Soe've going all the way back to this idea of, well, what's the why do people get things wrong? Do they get things right because they're too complicated? Or do they get things wrong because of motivated reasoning? They're trying hard to reason in a tribal way? Or do they getting things wrong because the're just not paying enough attention? Not thinking hard
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