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Try-Hards: Visibility vs Expertise

Troubleshooting Agile

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The Value of Predictions

There's a trick here because this is going to distinguish these different groups. So the people who already know they're not competent or are trying to learn will give a not very confident prediction. The people who are really competent will give a confident prediction and deliver on it. And then when it takes three weeks, you realize, OK, there's a miscalibration here. This is generally a valuable thing in part because not all the predictions will go according to plan but we get to learn them.

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