2min chapter

Founders cover image

#155 Jeff Bezos (Shareholder Letters and Speeches)

Founders

CHAPTER

Big Winners Pay for Many Experiments

Big winners pay for so many experiments. Outsides returns often come from betting against conventional wisdom and conventional wisdom is usually right. Given a 10% chance of a 100 times payoff, you should take that bet every time but you're still going to be wrong nine times out of 10. This long tail distribution of returns is why it's important to be bold.

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